The Kansas City Chiefs will open the 2012 regular season Sunday afternoon at Arrowhead Stadium against the Atlanta Falcons the way they spent most of the 2011 season: as underdogs.
After the NFL schedule was originally released, the Falcons were favored by one point. That spread has since jumped to three points and could move slightly north of that before kickoff arrives.
The Falcons are returning a team that went 10-6 a year ago and will get to unleash their aerial attack against a Chiefs defense without Tamba Hali and potentially Brandon Flowers and Derrick Johnson. Even if Kansas City had been impressive in the preseason, it would be hard to peg the Chiefs as just three point dogs to Atlanta.
If the doesn’t change before kickoff, you might want to stay away from this one, unless you enjoy putting money up against your favorite team. The only way I’d feel comfortable taking the Chiefs — even with the Arrowhead advantage — would be with an extra point and a half.