Dwayne Bowe, Matt Cassel: Fantasy Busts?

Even with optimism surrounding labor talks between NFL owners and players, there is still no lock that we will see a new deal soon.  However, fantasy football drafts will go on as normal no matter when the real games get started.  With that in mind, ESPN took a look at the sleepers and busts for 2011 and there were two Chiefs that landed on the “busts” list.

Matt Cassel, Kansas City Chiefs: I worry that last December and January are closest to Cassel’s true colors: 52.4 percent completion rate, six picks and five TDs.  Plus KC has the league’s run-heaviest attack. Cassel won’t repeat his big totals from ’10

Dwayne Bowe, Kansas City Chiefs: I’m not saying he shouldn’t be drafted, but he’s simply not “elite.”  He’s inconsistent, with 50 of his 200 fantasy points in 2010 coming in just six games, many of those accrued when the matchups were soft.  Wasn’t it two years ago that Bowe was fantasy kryptonite?

I’m not sure that Cassel is going to put up 27/7 TD/INT numbers again this season, but there’s no reason to expect him to revert to the numbers his put up his first year in Kansas City.  That’s when Cassel completed 55% of his passes and threw an interception for every touchdown.  Not only does he have a rejuvenated Bowe and one of the most explosive running backs in the NFL with Jamaal Charles, but also an emerging star in Tony Moeaki and his first real “jump ball” weapon thanks to rookie Jonathan Baldwin.

Last year I called Cassel a legit Top 20 fantasy quarterback and though we have a ways to go, right now he has to at least be considered a Top 15 option.  That means in most leagues he is worthy of being your starter.

Bowe should be looked at as a potential “bust” but not because he’s going to disappear.  Rather his biggest issue is out of Bowe’s control: his stock has never been higher.  There is going to be someone that wants to take Bowe as one of the first 7-8 WRs off the board, but it’s unlikely he’ll be able to justify being taken that high.

What makes Cassel a strong choice — more options on offense — will make it tough for Bowe to repeat the amazing streak he had in 2011.

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