Read: Few Teams Want A Top Pick

More likely than not, the Chiefs will be unable to trade out of the No. 3 slot whether they want to trade back or not, writes Adam Teicher at the Kansas City Star.picks1

Top picks are more expensive than ever but don’t develop into Pro Bowlers with any greater frequency than they ever did.  So it’s little wonder few if any teams want these so-called premium picks at the top of the draft.  There hasn’t been a trade for a top-five pick in five years.

Kansas City could be eager to move down to collect extra and less expensive picks.  The Chiefs could get lucky and receive an offer from a team desperate for a quarterback or tackle or another particular player.  More likely, they’ll be stuck where they are because other teams around them are also trying to get out.

Former Houston general manager, Charley Casserly, was in charge of the top pick in 2006 and recalled he wasn’t dealing with a hot commodity:

“We had zero offers for our pick.  I called the Jets and (general manager) Mike Tannenbaum and Mike says, ‘What are you going to give me to take that pick?’ That’s kind of the attitude: We don’t want this thing.’’

That’s a great quote from Casserly and really should help put all of us in Pioli’s shoes right now.  I’ve been pushing Aaron Curry because I feel he is the best player on the board and this is not a franchise that can afford to miss with this pick.  That’s not even considering the financial ramifications of swinging for the fences with a Brian Orakpo or Aaron Maybin and missing, especially if Glenn Dorsey is unable to bounce back from an unproductive rookie season.  If Pioli feels like taking a risk, then he needs to do whatever he can to make a deal and fall back into the middle of the first round.  Otherwise you stay “safe” and take Curry or whichever tackle is left on the board.  But it would be an irresponsible gamble to take anyone else.

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