When the Kansas City Chiefs travel to take on the Tennessee Titans, they’ll be road favorites for the second time this season. This comes on the heals of a 2012 season that saw the Chiefs fail to do that once.
Overall, the Chiefs have now been favored four of their five games. Last week Andy Reid’s squad found themselves 4.5 point favorites over the struggling New York Giants at Arrowhead Stadium and are now favored by three points over the Titans.
If Titans quarterback Jake Locker was healthy, there’s a good chance that “-” in front of the Chiefs number would be a “+”. But a hip injury suffered in Tennessee’s 38-13 victory over the New York Jets will sideline Locker for the immediate future.
Locker’s injury pushes Ryan Fitzpatrick into the starting job, a position he held for most of the past three seasons with the Buffalo Bills, including the 32 games prior to signing with the Titans.
The Titans still have a nearly-top 10 defense and should be considered a dangerous team. But dropping from Locker to Fitzpatrick is a significant setback for Tennessee, especially against a Chiefs defense that has battered every quarterback they’ve face so far this season. Even when you consider Fitzpatrick was 4-4 at home against the spread last season, it’s hard to have much confidence in him this weekend.
If the line doesn’t move too dramatically before kickoff, you should feel confident giving Fitzpatrick and the Titans three points.