Vegas: Chiefs To Improve… Slightly

We may be four months away from regular season NFL games, but that doesn’t mean you can’t put some money vegas1down on your favorite team.  Sports books (legal and otherwise) across the country have been setting their win totals for the 2009 season and the theme seems to be that the Kansas City Chiefs will improve… slightly.

Las Vegas Sports Consultants recently released NFL season win totals and assigned the Chiefs 6 wins.  Only the Lions (4), Rams (5) and Raiders (5.5) were given a lower number.  LVSC granted the Patriots the highest number of wins with 11.5.

The Atlanta Falcons have never had back-to-back winning seasons, but were still given a win total of 9 for the 2009 season.  Veteran handicapper Mark Franco feels the Falcons can get to their number thanks to a certain former Chief.

“I think the acquisition of Tony Gonzalez is the last piece of the puzzle for Atlanta’s offense.  With the way the Falcons ran the ball last year with Turner and Norwood and now you give Matt Ryan a security blanket in Gonzalez, they are going to be tough to stop.”

We’ve got a long way to go before the season starts so any sort of win/loss prediction isn’t worth much at this point, but I’d have a hard time putting the Chiefs down for an over.  A quick glance at the schedule and I can only see five games that I feel comfortable putting in the ‘W’ column:  Oakland at home Week 2, Oakland on the road Week 10, Buffalo at home Week 14, Cleveland at home Week 15 and Cincinnati on the road Week 16.  So in order to be on my way to winning an over bet with the Chiefs I need the team to win all five of those games and pick off two other games from a group that includes San Diego at home Week 7, Jacksonville on the road Week 9 and Denver at home Week 13.  The rest of the games — as it stands four months before kickoff in Week 1 — do not look to be anywhere near something you can count on for a win.

None of this means I think the Chiefs will only win 5 games this season or that I will be betting against my own team.  But at the same time I like to think I’m a rational guy and it’s just not rational to stand on a table and declare that Kansas City is ready to win more than 6 games with a tough as nails schedule on tap.

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