Week 3 NFL Picks

After a slow start, my NFL picks season is back on track.  I fell short with my goal of double digit victories (yes, they are all victories to me), but you won’t find me complaining about going three games over .500 after last week’s embarrassment.

Not a fun batch of games to try and predict this week with 9 (nine!) home dogs to go along with 3 home teams that are favored by more than ten points.  Very dangerous slate.

If you were looking for a week to swear off gambling, this would be it.

Last Week: 9-6-1
Season: 16-14-2

San Francisco at Kansas City (+3) – 49ers

Detroit at Minnesota (-11) – Lions

Buffalo at New England (-14.5) – Patriots

Atlanta at New Orleans (-4) – Saints

Tennessee at NY Giants (-3) – Titans

Pittsburgh at Tampa Bay (+3) – Steelers

Cincinnati at Carolina (+3.5) – Bengals

Cleveland at Baltimore (-11) – Ravens

Dallas at Houston (-3) – Cowboys

Washington at St. Louis (+4) – Redskins

Philadelphia at Jacksonville (+3) – Eagles

Indianapolis at Denver (+6) – Colts

Oakland at Arizona (-4.5) – Cardinals

San Diego at Seattle (+6) – Seahawks

NY Jets at Miami (-2) – Dolphins

Green Bay at Chicago (+3) – Packers

Kills me to pick against the Chiefs, but the defense that the 49ers are bringing into Arrowhead is going to give the already struggling Matt Cassel fits.  Sure, when the chips were down, Drew Brees was able to get down the field, but I think we can all agree that the Saints offense is in a different atmosphere than the Chiefs.

I’ll lay the points with the Ravens and Pats, but the Vikings have shown me absolutely nothing these first two weeks while the Lions have had some spunk.  I’ll take the 11 points and hope that Jahvid Best and Detroit will keep it close.

It would appear I haven’t learned my lesson about road teams in general.  I’m going with 10 after failing with that strategy badly over the opening weekend.  Like I said, probably a good week to sit out and just enjoy the games.

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