Any time you have eight games with lines of 3 points or less, it should — should — make picking games much easier. It’s easy for me to say that when I’m coming in off of a 7-7 week and 8 games under .500. At this point any new look to the games should end up being easier.
Though the one downside to me being more confident about these games is that you can’t in good conscience run out and keep making money by picking the opposite of me.
So without further ado, here is how I see this weekend going down. I’m sorry to report that I will be taking the Chiefs this week… Things were looking up for Kansas City too.
Last Week: 7-7
Miami at Cincinnati (-2) – Dolphins
Jacksonville at Dallas (-6.5) – Cowboys
Washington at Detroit (-3) – Redskins
Buffalo at Kansas City (-8) – Chiefs
Carolina at St. Louis (-3) – Rams
Green Bay at NY Jets (-6) – Jets
Denver at San Francisco (PK) – 49ers
Tennessee at San Diego (-3.5) – Titans
Seattle at Oakland (-3) – Seahawks
Minnesota at New England (-3) – Pats
Tampa Bay at Arizona (-3) – Bucs
Pittsburgh at New Orleans (+1) – Saints
Houston at Indianapolis (-5.5) – Colts
I can’t remember the last time we were in the middle of a season without one double digit line. It’s crazy to think that the Chiefs currently sit as the biggest favorites of the NFL in week 8. Just nutty.
The Bills are coming to Kansas City after nearly beating the Ravens in Baltimore thanks to nearly 400 yards in the air by Ryan Fitzpatrick and will still be desperately hoping to score their first win. But they are also bringing with them a non-existent rush defense against the best running game in the league. With the Chiefs able to dominate the clock on the ground, it’s hard to imagine the Bills getting into any sort of rhythm. I’ll happily give Buffalo 8 points.
Then there is the one and only home dog: the defending Super Bowl champs! That this can happen is one of the reasons we all love this game, but good luck wrapping your head around it.
The Saints have yet to do anything that gives me a reason to believe in them, but they need to show up with an “A” performance sooner or later, right? Right?
The Monday night game is a rematch of the Week 1 Texans 34-14 win over the Colts in Houston. With the game in Indy and Peyton Manning getting two weeks to prepare, 5.5 points seems like a frighteningly low line. I don’t care what happened in September or who is starting at running back for the Colts. Give Manning that much time to prepare and I’ll take my chances.